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100 _aPfeiffer, Deirdre
_956001
245 _aExploring the Relationship Between Housing Downturns and Partisan Elections:
_bNeighborhood-Level Evidence from Maricopa County, Arizona/
260 _bSage,
_c2020.
300 _aVol 56, Issue 6, 2020:( 1630-1658 p.).
520 _aAn understudied outcome of foreclosure crises is how their aftershocks affect partisan elections. Two hypotheses are that partisan shifts may occur in neighborhoods with concentrated foreclosures because of (1) declines in turnout among liberal leaning voters or (2) swells of anti-incumbency among all voters. This research explores these hypotheses in Maricopa County, Arizona, by using econometric modeling to uncover associations among neighborhood foreclosures, voter turnout, and changes in the Republican vote share between the 2006 and the 2010 Arizona gubernatorial and U.S. Senate elections. Our results show evidence of (1) anti-incumbent voting behavior and more liberal shifts among neighborhoods harder hit by foreclosures and (2) conservative shifts in neighborhoods experiencing African-American and Latinx population growth. These findings are suggestive of a link between neighborhood housing market distress and neighborhood partisan shifts, which in aggregate may shape state and national policymaking and future neighborhood conditions.
700 _aWegmann, Jake
_956002
700 _aSchafran, Alex
_956003
773 0 _09296
_916911
_dSage Publications
_tUrban Affairs Review
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/1078087418824748
942 _2ddc
_cEJR
999 _c13864
_d13864