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100 _aChen, Chien-Fu
_953610
245 _aTime-varying spillovers among first-tier housing markets in China/
_cChien-Fu Chen
260 _aLondon:
_bSage,
_c2020.
300 _aVol 57, issue 4, 2020 : (844–864 p.)
520 _aNumerous efforts have over the last few years been devoted to studying spillovers (ripple effects) among cities as a means of evaluating overheated housing markets. What seems to be lacking, however, is the application of a rolling-window approach to further explore time-varying spillovers in a timely manner in order to look more closely at a housing market with Chinese characteristics; for example, a market with rapidly increasing prices and a sequence of policy recommendations. By focusing on total, directional and net spillovers, and using 2000–2017 monthly housing price data across six Chinese cities, this study’s results indicate that time-varying spillovers provide a better understanding of the interactions among first-tier cities. It is interesting to note that, following the downside risk faced by the economy in 2014, the spillovers among cities have been abruptly transformed into those exhibiting bilateral co-movements based on high total spillovers and low net spillovers, and these results are also confirmed by the frequency dynamics of spillovers. Based on the above, there is sufficient evidence to conclude that the housing frenzies in China, which have become a national-level issue, deserve a more explicit macro-control policy in relation to real estate assets.
700 _aChiang, Shu-hen
_953611
773 0 _08843
_916581
_dLondon Sage Publications Ltd. 1964
_tUrban studies
_x0042-0980
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/0042098019841580
942 _2ddc
_cART
999 _c13226
_d13226