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100			_a Blyth, Eleanor M _951002
245			_aTrends in evapotranspiration and its drivers in Great Britain: 1961 to 2015 /
260			_bSage, _c2019.
300			_aVol 43, issue 5, 2019 : (666-693 p.).
520			_aIn a warming climate, the water budget of the land is subject to varying forces such as increasing evaporative demand, mainly through the increased temperature, and changes to the precipitation, which might go up or down. Using a verified, physically based model with 55 years of observation-based meteorological forcing, an analysis of the water budget demonstrates that Great Britain is getting warmer and wetter. Increases in precipitation (2.96.0 ± 2.03 mm yr–1 yr–1) and air temperature (0.20 ± 0.13 K decade–1) are driving increases in runoff (2.18 ± 1.84 mm yr–1 yr–1) and evapotranspiration (0.87 ± 0.55 mm yr–1 yr–1), with no significant trend in the soil moisture. The change in evapotranspiration is roughly constant across the regions, whereas runoff varies greatly between regions: the biggest change is seen in Scotland (4.56 ± 2.82 mm yr–1 yr–1), where precipitation increases were also the greatest (5.4 ± 3.0 mm yr–1 yr–1), and the smallest trend (0.33 ± 1.50 mm yr–1 yr–1, not statistically significant) is seen in the English Lowlands (East Anglia and Midlands), where the increase in rainfall is not statistically significant (1.07 ± 1.76 mm yr–1 yr–1). Relative to its contribution to the evapotranspiration budget, the increase in interception is higher than the other components. This is due to the fact that it correlates strongly with precipitation, which is seeing a greater increase than the potential evapotranspiration. This leads to a higher increase in actual evapotranspiration than the potential evapotranspiration, and a negligible increase in soil moisture or groundwater store.
650			_aEvapotranspiration _951003
650			_a interception, _951004
650			_aGreat Britain, _951005
650			_aland surface model, _951006
650			_atrends, _951007
650			_aCHESS, _951008
650			_aJULES _951009
700			_a Torre, Alberto Martínez-de la _951010
700			_aRobinson, Emma L _951011
773	0		_012665 _916502 _dLondon: Sage Publication Ltd, 2019. _tProgress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment/ _x03091333
856			_uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/0309133319841891
942			_2ddc _cART
999			_c12709 _d12709